Comparisons with last season

At the same stage last season we had 68 points from 38 games compared with 75 from 38 this season. This time we're on a run of 5 straight wins, last season we were on a run of 4 straight wins and we actually won our next (39th) game which was Sheff Utd at home taking us to 71 points from 39 games. We were chasing WBA and trailing them by a few points, Norwich being a distance ahead of us both and promotion certs. However, what happened next scuppered our promotion hopes. We lost our next three games (Ipswich away (!) , WBA at home (very late winner from them) and Palace away) which meant that we couldn't catch up with WBA although we rallied a bit toward the end of the season with 2 draws and 2 wins in our last 4 games. As can be seen from the graph we really tailed off towards the end due to the three consecutive defeats.
I think if we win all our home games (Coventry, Reading, Leicester, Stoke - these are all winnable) and do not loose against Ipswich or Wigan then we'll do it. That would take us to 89 points and allow for losses at WHU and QPR but if we could pick up a point at either of those games then we'd be laughing. I'm stating the obvious here but the key is not to lose to Ipswich or Wigan and if we could win either of those games, like WBA did against us last season, then I think we'd be promoted.